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Seven reasons why Brown won’t call an election

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Warning: This post was published more than 9 years ago.

I keep old posts on the site because sometimes it's interesting to read old content. Not everything that is old is bad. Also, I think people might be interested to track how my views have changed over time: for example, how my strident teenage views have mellowed and matured!

But given the age of this post, please bear in mind:

  • My views might have changed in the 9 years since I wrote this post.
  • This post might use language in ways which I would now consider inappropriate or offensive.
  • Factual information might be outdated.
  • Links might be broken; embedded material might not appear properly.

Many thanks for your understanding.

There are many, many reasons why Mr Brown won’t call an election in the next few weeks. These include…

  • It would be difficult for him to ‘win’ – only an improvement on Mr Blair’s last performance will be seen as a ‘win’, and that’s not the current trend.
  • The latest polls – Labour has virtually lost its lead.
  • The postal strike – Potential for electoral chaos.
  • Electoral register – Because the new register only comes into force from 1st December, thousands will probably be disenfranchised.
  • Technology – Much of the technical equipment that failed in the May elections hasn’t been fixed.
  • The defence against not calling an election is stronger than that against calling an election. And not calling an election when the Conservatives have called for it makes Cameron look powerless, which is a reasonable swap for Brown looking a bit wimpy.
  • The Brown honeymoon period is now well and truly over.

I’d be surprised if he called an election against that background. My history of predictions is pretty terrible, but poor ability doesn’t stop anything else I do…

This 1,217th post was filed under: Politics.






More posts worth reading

What I’ve been reading this month (published 5th August 2017)

What I’ve been reading this month (published 10th July 2017)

What I’ve been reading this month (published 2nd June 2017)

Minister thinks Government is unethical (published 19th October 2007)

No Viva! (published 10th June 2004)

HP Support Blog: Day 15 (published 31st August 2006)

News (published 10th June 2003)


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