About me
About me

Swing Update


Hold up! Before you read on, please read this...

This post was published more than 12 years ago

I keep old posts on the site because I often enjoy reading old content on other people's sites. Not everything that is old is bad. It can be interesting to see how views have changed over time: for example, how my strident teenage views have mellowed and matured.

But given the age of this post, please bear in mind:

  • My views might very well have changed in the 12 years since I wrote this post. I have written some very silly things over the years, many of which I find pretty embarrassing today.
  • This post might use language in ways which I would now consider highly inappropriate or offensive.
  • Factual information might be outdated.
  • Links might be broken; embedded material might not appear properly.

Okay. Consider yourself duly warned. Read on...

Today’s swing figure:

» 1.54% swing to the Conservatives «

A pretty terrible day for Mr Howard today, then. Three new polls out, and his swing is reduced to just one-and-a-half points, which would give Labour a majority of 142 – a third landslide for Mr Blair. I think some brainstorming is urgently needed in the Conservative camp.

Today’s polls: FT/MORI have things 40/32 in Labour’s favour, Indie/NOP are on 37/32, and Times/Populus – which two weeks ago had them almost level pegging – has it 40/31 to Labour. There’s not much to report on the Lib Dem front, with them holding pretty steady, at 21 in all three polls.

Let’s hope Mr Howard can turn things around, or we’ll be having another government with an uncomfortably large marjority.

This 519th post was filed under: Election 2005.

More posts worth reading

What I’ve been reading this month (published 5th March 2018)

What I’ve been reading this month (published 6th February 2018)

TV I’ve been watching lately (published 9th January 2018)

Iran, the Navy, and BBC News 24 (published 25th March 2007)

Google buys Writely (published 9th March 2006)

Summer Books: Living with Teenagers (published 24th August 2008)

Mr Blair: How much you have changed (published 25th July 2005)

Comments and responses

No comments or responses to this article have been published yet.

Compose a new comment


You may use these tags: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <s> <strike> <strong> .

If you would like to display a profile picture beside your comment, sign up for Gravatar, and enter your email address above.

By submitting your comment, you confirm that it conforms to the site's comment policy. Comments are subject to both automatic and human moderation, and may take some time to appear.

The content of this site is copyright protected by a Creative Commons License, with some rights reserved. All trademarks, images and logos remain the property of their respective owners. The accuracy of information on this site is in no way guaranteed. Opinions expressed are solely those of the author. No responsibility can be accepted for any loss or damage caused by reliance on the information provided by this site. This site uses cookies - click here for more information.