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Warning: This post was published more than 11 years ago.

I keep old posts on the site because sometimes it's interesting to read old content. Not everything that is old is bad. Also, I think people might be interested to track how my views have changed over time: for example, how my strident teenage views have mellowed and matured!

But given the age of this post, please bear in mind:

  • My views might have changed in the 11 years since I wrote this post.
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  • Factual information might be outdated.
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Many thanks for your understanding.

Today’s swing figure:

» 1.95% swing to the Conservatives «

Is this the start of a Conservative bounce? It’s hard to tell with only one poll out today (Times/Populus 39/33), but in terms of fieldwork it’s the mose recent since since Mori’s 40/32, so it does look like the gap might be closing again. The magic forumla currently has the parties at 39/33 as well, though, so perhaps the most recent poll is just consolidating the current position, rather than showing a turn-around. It will be interesting to see where we get over the next few days… but perhaps Michael Howard was right to insist on keeping his current strategy – and it would see that it’s worried Labour a little, since they tried to move their press conference to clash with the Conservative one. So the Conservatives respond by sensibly putting their’s back half an hour, so Labour responds by over-running. That’s not trying to win through better policies, that’s trying to win through playground tactics. Next time Labour move their press conference, can we please have a press agreement that no-one turns up?

This 525th post was filed under: Election 2005.






More posts worth reading

What I’ve been reading this month (published 6th February 2017)

What I’ve been reading this month (published 31st December 2016)

What I’ve been reading this month (published 30th November 2016)

BBC staff to stage 24-hour strikes (published 12th May 2005)

Ignore the media: Labour Party NOT cleared (published 21st July 2007)

Don’t let germs be your gift (published 8th November 2013)

Photo-a-day 219: Toothbrushes (published 6th August 2012)


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