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Warning: This post was published more than 12 years ago.

I keep old posts on the site because sometimes it's interesting to read old content. Not everything that is old is bad. Also, I think people might be interested to track how my views have changed over time: for example, how my strident teenage views have mellowed and matured!

But given the age of this post, please bear in mind:

  • My views might have changed in the 12 years since I wrote this post.
  • This post might use language in ways which I would now consider inappropriate or offensive.
  • Factual information might be outdated.
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Many thanks for your understanding.

Today’s swing figure:

» 3.27% swing to the Conservatives «

A weekend without campaigning has been quite damaging for Mr Howard, increasing Mr Blair’s predicted majority to about 102. However, with the election campaign stepping up a gear on Monday, and with no more predicted gaps in campaigning, Mr Howard should be able to build on his good results of last week. He just needs to keep up the pressure.

If this kind of figure continues, however, and proves not to be a minor blip, then there may have to be some big changes to the Conservative strategy. I’m fairly sure this is just as a result of the lack of weekend campaigning, though, so Mr Blair shouldn’t be getting too excited quite yet.

This 489th post was filed under: Election 2005.






More posts worth reading

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What I’ve been reading this month (published 7th May 2017)

What I’ve been reading this month (published 3rd April 2017)

Photo-a-day 162: DNA sculpture (published 10th June 2012)

The life-changing magic of tidying (published 19th January 2015)

State of the Union (published 24th January 2007)

Photo-a-day 334: Angel (published 30th November 2012)


Comments and responses

Comment from sjhoward


by sjhoward

Comment posted at 20:10 on 10th April 2005.

I updated this post at 8pm to take into account the Observer/Mori poll I missed when calculating the figure this morning. Unfortunately, Labour’s seven point lead in that poll somewhat harmed the swing figure from the point of view of the Conservatives, but I’m sure they’ll be back on track before long. The original figure showed a swing of 4.23%.


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