My media sources tell me that an Independent/NOP poll published tomorrow will show the Conservatives slipping to down to just 30% – and Labour up to 42%. Which is, frankly, scary. Even the Lib Dems are down three points on this one.

The only questionably good news is that only 55% said they were certain to vote, and a low turnout would almost certainly be bad for Labour. But, frankly, when they’re twelve points ahead it’s not likely to make anywhere near enough of a difference. It could make some impact though, particularly if all the other polling data is correct in saying that the Conservatives are ten points ahead of Labour in turnout – that’s a long way in front.

I just can’t see what the Labour party have done to court voters even further since the last poll I looked at. But they must have done something, and it’s looking increasingly certain that Labour are going to win the General Election by a fair margin. So please try to stop them.