Today’s swing figure:

» 1.40% swing to the Conservatives «

That’s the lowest Conservative figure to date. Only one new poll today, NOP/Independent has Labour ten points ahead – 40/30. Every pollster included in the formula – with the exception of ICM and YouGov – now have Labour at 40% or above. That’s almost what they got in 2001. And no-one has the Conservatives any more than two percent ahead of last time. Eek. The Lib Dems are up on last time in every recent poll. So it’s a good day for Mr Blair and Mr Kennedy, and resignation-letter-preparation day for Mr Howard. But there’s still more than a week to go. Can he turn things round? Probably not, but we can watch him try…