Today’s swing figure:

» 1.54% swing to the Conservatives «

A pretty terrible day for Mr Howard today, then. Three new polls out, and his swing is reduced to just one-and-a-half points, which would give Labour a majority of 142 – a third landslide for Mr Blair. I think some brainstorming is urgently needed in the Conservative camp.

Today’s polls: FT/MORI have things 40/32 in Labour’s favour, Indie/NOP are on 37/32, and Times/Populus – which two weeks ago had them almost level pegging – has it 40/31 to Labour. There’s not much to report on the Lib Dem front, with them holding pretty steady, at 21 in all three polls.

Let’s hope Mr Howard can turn things around, or we’ll be having another government with an uncomfortably large marjority.