Today’s swing figure:

» 2.18% swing to the Conservatives «

The Conservative bounce is well and truly over. Three new polls today: ICM/Mirror on 39/33, Populus/Times 41/32 (a nine point lead, with exactly the same figures as 2001!), and YouGov/Telegraph 37/33. The YouGov one has the Lib Dems on 24% – that’s enough to send Mr Kennedy into overdrive, and give him nine more seats. It would also leave Labour with a comfortable three-figure majority. But there’s only one poll that matters, and that’s a little over a week away – and a week is a lifetime in politics.