Election swinging, of course.

With all the polls about, it seems just about time to share with you my predictions, which are based on a wide number of polls and a patented (not really) formula I’ve created in order to predict the swing in the upcoming election. I intend to make this a regular-ish feature, because as new polls come out the figure will change.

So where does the swingometer lie today?

» 4.39% swing to the Conservatives «

So what would this mean for Mr Blair? Well the news wouldn’t be so bad, actually. He’d still be left with an overall majority of about 70, which wouldn’t be seen as such a bad defeat. And my local constituency would have turned Conservative, too.

I’ll do my best to keep you updated on how this changes as the polls change. But there’s every chance I’ll forget.